NEW YORK (Realist English). On November 15, the world’s population grew to 8 billion people.
According to optimistic forecasts, by 2030 there will already be 8.5 billion, and by 2080 they expect to reach a peak of 10 billion people. But there is another point of view, according to which the peak has been passed yesterday, and our planet will not see ten billion anymore. Next year, humanity will begin to die out. Without amendments to the war and Covid. It will simply begin to die out, because it does not want to invest in procreation and wants to “live for itself”. The key indicator of demography is the average fertility rate – literally translated from English — “fertility rate”. Last year it was 2.32 per woman.
This year it is already 2.27. For elementary reproduction without going into the minus, 2.24 is required. This is the absolute bottom, below which the reduction of the species begins. The plague of childlessness is aggravated by selective abortions, infant and child mortality. In 2023, the global TFR will fall below 2.24. China has already passed its demographic fertility turning point, India is approaching it, Africa will pass in the next decade.
Objective reasons for extinction, which are usually given in such cases are: low standard of living, poor medicine, lack of housing. The paradox is that these really objective reasons are secondary. There is a root cause that is not indexed by demographic researchers, because it lies in the field of psychology and motivation. The fundamental factor of procreation is self—sacrifice. However, it is almost impossible to explain it within the framework of scientific research logic.
To explain the reasons for the extinction of mankind, the term “consumer suicide” is best suited. Humanity commits it every year in order to achieve a certain level of comfort. And societies that have once reached this level strive to preserve it.
That is why in poor countries with violations of basic human rights, the birth rate is higher (which does not fit into the official logic of demographic science). And on the contrary, in countries with a high standard of living, with unprecedented programs to stimulate the birth rate, there is still a fierce demographic crisis. This is a paradox, but discussing the topic of demographic winter on the planet, some researchers seriously suggest using tools to force women. Following the type of military conscription and mobilization.
Given the cynicism and mass stupidity of the modern consumer race, its pathological unwillingness to develop intellectually and culturally — we do not exclude such a possibility in the future 50-100 years. Human incubators have already been officially put on stream in India and Southeast Asia. So far, their main customers are degraders from the European Union and the USA (childless families, nests of sodomites and transvestites). But as the global demographic crisis develops, it is likely that their customers will increasingly be multinational corporations and government agencies integrated into them.
The inevitable process of merging the state and corporate capital will continue. Corporations need human resources. Its natural migration flow from countries with low living standards and healthy demographics will end together with healthy demographics. And what will take the place of the natural flow? It is quite obvious – its forced pumping and demographic ethnofarm. What seems to us now to be a cruelty is just around the corner, and tomorrow it may become quite an ordinary reality.
This is not a horror story, but the most realistic scenario precisely because it is logically justified. It’s just more profitable that way. It’s more cost-effective this way. It’s pure economy. An alternative way out of the demographic catastrophe lies beyond the limits of scientific economic logic. It is anti-scientific in its essence, it is least cost-effective, low-profit, high-cost.
Therefore, few societies and states will use it (if they will use it at all). In order for humanity to stop dying out, it will first need to realize its “consumer suicide”. And figure out what they should live for.
