Realist: news and analytics

Русский/English/العربية

  • News
  • Russia
  • Caucasus
  • Opinion
  • Interviews
  • Experts
No Result
View All Result
Realist: news and analytics
  • News
  • Russia
  • Caucasus
  • Opinion
  • Interviews
  • Experts
No Result
View All Result
Realist: news and analytics

Five scenarios for a new world order

The key to end the conflict in Ukraine lies in Beijing. China hesitates to be dragged into this European war as bigger questions are at stake for the emerging superpower, believes the German analyst Mark Saxer.

   
August 8, 2022, 00:08
World
Image: Nikkei

Image: Nikkei

BERLIN (Realist English). Russia’s special operation on the territory of the former Ukraine actually destroyed the peaceful global order in Europe. Now, Brussels needs to find ways to contain Moscow, while its traditional protector, the United States, continues its shift of focus to the Indo-Pacific, says Mark Saxer, coordinator of the regional work of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) in the Asia Pacific.

In his opinion, this task becomes impossible when China and Russia cooperate, because if anything, the key to end the conflict in Ukraine lies in Beijing:

“China hesitates to be dragged into this European war as bigger questions are at stake for the emerging superpower: Will the silk road be wrecked by a new iron curtain? Shall it stick to its ‘limitless alliance’ with Russia? And what about the territorial integrity of sovereign states? In short: for China, it is about the world order.”

The German analyst emphasizes that the moment of unipolarity after the triumph of the West in the Cold War is over, and the Ukrainian conflict clearly marks the end of Pax Americana:

“Russia and China openly challenge American hegemony. Russia may have proven to be a giant with clay feet, and has inadvertently strengthened the unity of the West. But the shift of the global balance of power to East Asia is far from over. In China, the United States has encountered a worthy rival for global predominance. But Moscow, Delhi, and Brussels also aspire to become power hubs in the coming multipolar order.”

Mark Saxer believes that in the coming decade, the rivalries between great powers are likely to continue with undiminished vigour. The ultimate prize of this great power competition is a new world order. The expert identifies five possible scenarios:

“First, the liberal world order could survive the end of the unipolar American moment.

Second, a series of wars and revolutions can lead to the total collapse of order. 

Third, a great power concert could bring relative stability in a multipolar world but fail to tackle the great challenges facing humanity.

Fourth, a new cold war may partly block the rule-based multilateral system, but still allow for limited cooperation in questions of common interest.

Fifth, an illiberal order with Chinese characteristics”.

Special Military Operation in UkraineInternational Relations
Previous Post

Mikhail Gusman is the mouthpiece of the Baku regime in Russia

Next Post

Georgia and Iran are Armenia’s only allies

Related Posts

Donald Trump and Ron Desantis. Image: mediaproxy.salon.com
World

DeSantis is betting on the polarization of American society

31 May, 2023
“Let’s not get used to conflicts and violence” — Pope Francis
World

Britain supports the Kiev regime to the detriment of Afghanistan

27 May, 2023
“Let’s not get used to conflicts and violence” — Pope Francis
World

What caused the growing tensions in relations between Iran and Taliban Afghanistan?

26 May, 2023
Image: AP
World

G7 countries have increased financial assistance to the Kiev regime to $44 billion

16 May, 2023
Erdoğan and his party may lose power for the first time since 2002
World

Erdoğan and his party may lose power for the first time since 2002

13 May, 2023
Charles III. Image: Guardian
World

The coronation of Charles III is an expensive and meaningless performance

9 May, 2023
Most Popular
Most Popular
Donald Trump and Ron Desantis. Image: mediaproxy.salon.com

DeSantis is betting on the polarization of American society

31 May, 2023

WASHINGTON (Realist English). Florida Governor Ron Desantis will find it extremely difficult to defend his position, competing with ex-President, The...

Aram Torosyan on cinema, culture and beauty of Armenia

Aram Torosyan on cinema, culture and beauty of Armenia

24 May, 2023

YEREVAN (Realist English). Aram Torosyan, Director of Academy Films, answered these and other questions of the Realist News Agency. What...

Eduard Polatov: The genocide of the Greeks in Turkey is one of the dark pages in the history of the Turkish people

Eduard Polatov: The genocide of the Greeks in Turkey is one of the dark pages in the history of the Turkish people

19 May, 2023

YEREVAN (Realist English). 32 years have passed since the Phoenix Greek Society of Armenia, renamed to the Patrida organization, appealed...

Barack Obama. Image: cnn.com

When a problem arises in the world, we always look at how Washington responds — Barack Obama

4 May, 2023

ZURICH (Realist English). Former US President Barack Obama spoke in Zurich on the evening of April 29. The former head...

Opinion

Victor Mnatsakanyan

Yerevan should be a people city

4 September, 2023

YEREVAN (Realist English). Time and events make us look at many things in a new way, have a new attitude...

Mikhail Mishustin and Xi Jinping. Photo: Maxim Stulov / Vedomosti

Results of Mishustin’s visit to China: the struggle for world leadership takes on more concrete features

30 May, 2023

BEIJING (English Realist). The visit of Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin to China has ended. This is one of the...

Eduard Polatov: The genocide of the Greeks in Turkey is one of the dark pages in the history of the Turkish people

Eduard Polatov: The genocide of the Greeks in Turkey is one of the dark pages in the history of the Turkish people

19 May, 2023

YEREVAN (Realist English). 32 years have passed since the Phoenix Greek Society of Armenia, renamed to the Patrida organization, appealed...

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu and Recep Erdoğan. Image: dha.com.tr

Erdogan’s rule is under real threat

9 May, 2023

ANKARA (Realist English). There are less than 10 days left before the presidential elections in Turkey. There, for the first...

All rights reserved.

© 2017-2022

  • About Us
  • Mission and Values
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy Policy

Follow Realist English

No Result
View All Result
  • News
  • Russia
  • Caucasus
  • Opinion
  • Interviews
  • Experts

Русский/English/العربية